Essential demographic methods

"Essential Demographic Methods brings to readers the full range of ideas and skills of demographic analysis that lie at the core of social sciences and public health. Classroom tested over many years, filled with fresh data and examples, this approachable text is tailored to the needs of beginn...

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Main Author: Wachter, Kenneth W.,
Other Authors: ebrary, Inc.
Format: eBook
Language: English
Published: Cambridge, Massachusetts : Harvard University Press, 2014.
Physical Description: 1 online resource (xvi, 288 pages) : illustrations.
Series: ebrary e-book collection.
Subjects:
Table of Contents:
  • Introduction : why study demography?
  • 1. Exponential growth
  • The balancing equation
  • The growth rate r
  • The exponential curve
  • Models and parameters
  • Taylor series
  • Logistic growth
  • Doubling times
  • 2. Periods and cohorts
  • Lexis diagrams
  • Period person-years lived
  • The crude rate model
  • The infant mortality rate
  • Person-years and areas
  • Cohort person-years lived
  • The stationary population identity
  • 3. Cohort mortality
  • Cohort survival by analogy
  • Probabilities of dying
  • Columns of the cohort life table
  • King Edward's children
  • From nLx to ex
  • The radix
  • Hazards and survivors
  • Gompertz hazards
  • Annuities and insurance
  • Mortality of the 1300s and 2000s
  • 4. Cohort fertility
  • Generational renewal
  • Age-specific fertility
  • ASFRs and the NRR
  • Cohort parity
  • Natural fertility
  • 5. Population projection
  • Transition matrices
  • Structural zeros
  • The Leslie Matrix subdiagonal
  • The Leslie Matrix first row
  • Projecting fillies, mares, seniors
  • Multi-state tables
  • Population renewal
  • Variable r and the Lexis Surface
  • 6. Period fertility
  • Period measures
  • Period age-specific fertility
  • Period NRR, GRR, and TFR
  • Log(GRR) plots
  • Age-standardized rates
  • Tempo and quantum
  • Princeton indices
  • Coale and Trussell's M and m
  • 7. Period mortality
  • Period lifetables
  • Gaps and lags
  • The 1660s and laws of mortality
  • Graunt's model lifetable
  • Coale-Demeny model lifetables
  • Brass relational logit models
  • Lee-Carter models
  • 8. Heterogeneous risks
  • Heterogeneity
  • Multiple decrements
  • Competing risks
  • Calculations with hazards
  • Lifeluck, risk, and frailty
  • Proportional hazards
  • Cox regression estimation
  • Frailty models
  • 9. Marriage and family
  • The complexity of marriage
  • First marriage by analogy
  • The SMAFM
  • The singulate mean formula
  • Marity
  • 10. Stable age structures
  • Age pyramids
  • Stationary equivalent populations
  • Consequences of unchanging rates
  • Stable age pyramids
  • The many faces of Lotka's r
  • The Euler-Lotka equation
  • Life left in stable populations
  • Population momentum
  • 11. Migration and location
  • Spatial demography
  • Flows of people
  • Concentrations
  • Random walks
  • GIS and cartograms
  • Conclusion
  • Appendix A: Sources and notes
  • Appendix B: Useful formulas.