Macroeconomic patterns and stories a guide for MBAs /
This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US e...
| Main Author: | Leamer, Edward E. |
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| Other Authors: | SpringerLink (Online service) |
| Format: | eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
New York ; London :
Springer,
2008.
|
| Physical Description: |
1 online resource (xvi, 359 pages) : illustrations. |
| Subjects: |
| Summary: |
This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US economy. Edward Leamer argues that "We are pattern-seeking story-telling animals." He provides in this book the patterns and stories that are the basis for his understanding of what determines the business cycle and what determines long-run economic growth. |
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| Item Description: |
Introduction: We Are Pattern-Seeking, Story-Telling Animals -- Four Key Variables: Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Interest Rates -- Gross Domestic Product -- The Components of GDP: C+I+G+X?M -- Employment -- Inflation and Interest Rates -- Extrapolative Forecasting -- A Recession Symptoms -- Unwanted Idleness: Recessions and Recoveries -- Recession Comparison Charts -- Who Struggles and Who Does Well in Recessions? -- B Recession Stories -- Idleness Stories -- Cycle Stories -- C Recession Early Warning Signs -- Clues: Temporal Ordering of Components of GDP -- More Clues: Episodic Forecasting with Components of Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -- D Recession Causes -- The Art of Drawing Causal Inferences from Nonexperimental Data -- In Search of Recession Causes -- Expansions: With and Without Spurts -- The Life Cycle of US Expansions: Sputters and Spurts -- The Longer Run: Savings, Investment, Government Borrowing, Foreign Lending and Your Home -- Savings and Investment -- Government -- The External Deficit and the Value of the Dollar Hu's in Charge? -- The Ups and Downs of Real Estate Values: Can You Rely on Your Home To Pay For Your Retirement? This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US economy. Edward Leamer argues that "We are pattern-seeking story-telling animals." He provides in this book the patterns and stories that are the basis for his understanding of what determines the business cycle and what determines long-run economic growth. |
| Physical Description: |
1 online resource (xvi, 359 pages) : illustrations. |
| ISBN: |
9783540463894 3540463895 9783540463887 3540463887 |