Managing country risk in an age of globalization a practical guide to overcoming challenges in a complex world /
This book provides an up-to-date guide to managing Country Risk. It tackles its various and interlinked dimensions including sovereign risk, socio-political risk, and macroeconomic risk for foreign investors, creditors, and domestic residents. It shows how they are accentuated in the global economy...
| Main Author: | Bouchet, Michel Henri, |
|---|---|
| Other Authors: | Fishkin, Charles A., 1960-, Goguel, Amaury,, SpringerLink (Online service) |
| Format: | eBook |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Cham :
Palgrave Macmillan,
2018.
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| Physical Description: |
1 online resource. |
| Subjects: |
| Summary: |
This book provides an up-to-date guide to managing Country Risk. It tackles its various and interlinked dimensions including sovereign risk, socio-political risk, and macroeconomic risk for foreign investors, creditors, and domestic residents. It shows how they are accentuated in the global economy together with new risks such as terrorism, systemic risk, environmental risk, and the rising trend of global volatility and contagion. The book also assesses the limited usefulness of traditional yardsticks of Country Risk, such as ratings and rankings, which at best reflect the market consensus without predictive value and at worst amplify risk aversion and generate crisis contamination. This book goes further than comparing a wide range of risk management methods in that it provides operational and forward-looking warning signs of Country Risk. The combination of the authors' academic and market-based backgrounds makes the book a useful tool for scholars, analysts, and practitioners.-- |
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| Item Description: |
Intro; Foreword by Tanya S. Beder; Contents; List of Figures; List of Tables; Managing Country Risk in an Age of Globalization: Introduction; 1 Assessing Risk in a Global Economy; 1.1 Introduction; 1.2 What Is Risk?; 1.2.1 A Multifaceted Concept; 1.2.2 Risk, Uncertainty, and Ambiguity; 1.2.3 A Spectrum of Diverse Issues; 1.2.4 A Source of Loss and Gain; 1.2.5 The Effect on Other Outcomes; 1.2.6 A Function of Perspective; 1.2.7 Inherent Versus Residual Risk; 1.2.8 Risk Appetite; 1.3 What Is Risk Management?; 1.3.1 A Way of Thinking; 1.3.2 What Risk Management Requires; 1.4 Conclusion. 3 Country Risk in the Age of Globalization: Cycles and Dynamics. A Review of Literature3.1 Introduction to the Main Approaches to Country Risk Analysis; 3.1.1 The Analysis of Country Risk Has Continuously Evolved; 3.1.2 The Scope of Country Risk Has Continuously Evolved; 3.1.3 Puzzling Over the Anatomy of Crises; 3.1.4 The Global Financial Crisis Has Changed the "Frame Analysis"; 3.2 Is Country Risk Prediction Doomed to Failure in the Age of Globalization?; 3.2.1 Quantitative Versus Qualitative Approach; 3.3 What About New Kind of Crises and New Related Indicators? 3.3.1 Push Versus Pull Factors3.3.2 In the Long Run, We Are All Dead; 3.4 The Cyclic Nature of Crises Is Increasingly at the Heart of Country Risk Analysis; 3.4.1 Sources of Cycles; 3.4.2 Bunches of Defaults; 3.4.3 Amplifying Factors and Minsky Moment; 3.4.4 Recurrent Cyclic Patterns; 3.4.5 Vicious Spirals; 3.4.6 Distorted Incentives; 3.5 Additional Sources of Cycles and Volatility; 3.5.1 Prices and Exchange Rates; 3.5.2 Risk Appetite and Market Sentiment; 3.5.3 Commodities are also "Super-Cyclical"; 3.5.4 Real Estate Cycles and Global Impact; 3.6 Globalization and Country Vulnerabilities. 3.6.1 Holistic Perspective and Interactions3.6.2 Vulnerability Factors Identified by Scholars; 3.6.3 Tolerance and Resilience Factors; 3.6.4 "Communicating Vessels" Effect; 3.7 Structural Vulnerabilities; 3.7.1 Trade Vulnerabilities; 3.7.2 A Mix of Structural Weaknesses and Growth Bottleneck; 3.8 Developing Countries: Geometrically Variable Models; 3.8.1 Setting the Scene; 3.8.2 Inequalities and Wealth Gap; 3.8.3 Institutions and Governance; 3.8.4 The Paradox of Plenty; 3.9 Concluding Remarks; References; 4 Country Risk Assessment: The Key Role of Official Information Sources. This book provides an up-to-date guide to managing Country Risk. It tackles its various and interlinked dimensions including sovereign risk, socio-political risk, and macroeconomic risk for foreign investors, creditors, and domestic residents. It shows how they are accentuated in the global economy together with new risks such as terrorism, systemic risk, environmental risk, and the rising trend of global volatility and contagion. The book also assesses the limited usefulness of traditional yardsticks of Country Risk, such as ratings and rankings, which at best reflect the market consensus without predictive value and at worst amplify risk aversion and generate crisis contamination. This book goes further than comparing a wide range of risk management methods in that it provides operational and forward-looking warning signs of Country Risk. The combination of the authors' academic and market-based backgrounds makes the book a useful tool for scholars, analysts, and practitioners.-- Provided by publisher. |
| Physical Description: |
1 online resource. |
| ISBN: |
9783319897523 3319897527 |